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The Week In Forex - What Next?
By RalphShell | 11:31 AM May 24 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 260 |  (Ratings: 0)
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The euro has staged a minor rally this week versus the USD. The market is trapped, momentarily, within the 1.28/30 area. There was a period of euro strength when the prepared text of Bernanke's speech said the current level of QE would continue until there was solid evidence of recovery....
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Is the Bear Move in the Yen Coming to an End?
By RalphShell | 11:19 AM May 23 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 574 |  (Ratings: 1)
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It looks like the Fed's debate about tapering has a long tail. Just mention the word 'taper' and it seems some asset class is going to contract. Last night it was the Japanese Nikkei 225 that sold off over 7%; this gave the equity bears some momentum. European markets were down 2 t...
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Bernanke Comments Boost the USD - And Hurt the Euro
By RalphShell | 12:32 PM May 22 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 346 | (Ratings: 0)
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The forex markets are jittery today as Fed Chairman Bernanke confesses to what he might or might not do. Some, who apparently had access to the prepared text of his testimony, reported there would be no tapering off of the current money rate of money addition of $85B per month.
Premature ti...
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Identify the Market and Trade Accordingly
By RalphShell | 11:34 AM May 21 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 357 | (Ratings: 1)
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What do we mean when we request you 'identify the market'? Well, some markets seem to aimlessly meander like a river flowing over flat land, as it's waters move out to sea. Other markets streak, either up or down - there is no question which way they are headed. The only issue is h...
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Congrats and Shame - April Trading Contest Winners Announced
By ForexRazor | 5:02 PM May 20 2013 | 24 Comments | Views: 1703 | (Ratings: 21)
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Update - We had to disqualify a few more traders on closer inspection, so the new winners list is posted in this article and on the contest ranking page.
Well, after hours of 'grading' the latest trading contest I can now see why other contests around the web do nothing to moderate their contests...
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CFTC COT Report 14 May 2013 - Speculators Continue Buying the USD
By RalphShell | 4:17 AM May 20 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 137 | (Ratings: 0)
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CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) Report 14 May, published 17 May 2013 - Technical Analysis. There was across-the-board buying in the USD. The total net USD position increased from 316.7K to 395.9K at the end of this period. This is the largest USD position since June of 2012.
The biggest...
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Are We Close to Selling the USD?
By RalphShell | 1:13 PM May 17 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 303 | (Ratings: 1)
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It has been a great week for the USD as it gained against all the majors. The New Zealand Dollar was the last market where the futures traders were long. Early in the week, the kiwi bought .8316 cents per USD, but by the end of the week it was down under the 81 handle. Should the w...
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How to Get with a Streaking Market
By RalphShell | 11:27 AM May 16 2013 | 1 Comments | Views: 414 |  (Ratings: 1)
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There is nothing more discouraging to a trader than to correctly analyze a market, and then watch it streak away without you. Markets often have false starts, and then settle back to the congestion area where they started. Buying the break out with an appropriate money market stop often ...
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Is Cheaper Crude Weakening the Canadian Dollar?
By RalphShell | 11:09 AM May 15 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 298 | (Ratings: 0)
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For the fifth day in a row, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude traded lower - under 93 for the June contract. Granted, there is much more to the Canadian economy than energy, but it is the biggest source of export revenue. The Alberta oil sands are estimated to be the third largest rese...
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How Does Italy Feel About German Exceptionalism?
By RalphShell | 11:21 AM May 14 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 405 | (Ratings: 0)
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Last weekend I ran into an interesting article in The Economist entitled Mend the Money Machine. The article refers to the shortage of European bank funds to finance small and medium sized business in Southern Europe; this magazine is a bit haughty, but this article seems to present a va...
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Stats Rebate Inclusion Bugs and Resolution
By ForexRazor | 9:52 AM May 13 2013 | 1 Comments | Views: 130 | (Ratings: 0)
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We have seen some issues come through lately where a user adds their trading account to ForexRazor stats and the account has earned rebate at Cashbackforex.com, but for some reason the rebates are not included in the user's statistics and no rebate payments are found. We are currently working ...
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CFTC COT Report 07 May 2013 - Speculators Increase USD Longs
By RalphShell | 6:13 AM May 13 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 134 | (Ratings: 0)
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CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) Report 07 May, published 10 May 2013 - Technical Analysis. In the most recent COT reporting period, the specs have increased their net USD spec long position from 292.3K to 316.7K. Spec short positions were increased in the pound, euro, and yen. Th...
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Week Closes With Some Decisive Forex Moves
By RalphShell | 2:09 PM May 10 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 498 | (Ratings: 0)
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Yesterday, Thursday 09 May 2013, we were lamenting the lack of decisive moves, especially in the euro and the yen. What a difference a day makes.
In the euro, we did note that trade was becoming congested with triangular trendlines converging. Usually, that formation can result...
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New Feature Added: Include Rebates in Trading Performance Stats
By ForexRazor | 5:43 AM May 10 2013 | 2 Comments | Views: 669 |  (Ratings: 6)
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When you connect your MT4 trading account to the ForexRazor stats system you can view in-depth statistics for your account, as well as optionally share with your friends or everyone if you wish to share.
In the quest for maintaining status as the most accurate system available of it's kind...
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Range Bound Trade Confusing to Traders of the Yen and the Euro
By RalphShell | 11:51 AM May 09 2013 | 1 Comments | Views: 543 | (Ratings: 0)
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Since the EURUSD (FXE, UUP) made a spike low of about 1.2850 in early April, the euro has forged a steady recovery. It has not been dramatic, but the bears have paid a price. The short side of this pair has been popular with specs. In the futures market, the COT report showed the s...
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Not Every Trade Makes Money
By RalphShell | 9:35 AM May 08 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 610 | (Ratings: 0)
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How true it is: not every trade does make money. Traders, after analysis of various inputs, reach a conclusion, and enter the trade. The analysis can include a myriad of inputs. Initially, most traders tend to rely on technical analysis, probably because it is easier to get a rudim...
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Industry User Reviews Contest Extended
By ForexRazor | 5:50 AM May 08 2013 | 4 Comments | Views: 306 | (Ratings: 8)
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We are extending the user reviews contest with $3700 in cash prizes until May 17 20:00 UTC 2013, as a result of having a multitude of reports of lost reviews. We have not yet been able to replicate the mysterious error however it is currently being worked on and should be resolved promptly. &n...
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CFTC COT Report 30 April 2013 - Specs Liquidate USD Longs
By RalphShell | 10:10 AM May 07 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 311 | (Ratings: 0)
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CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) Report 30 April, published 03 May 2013 - Technical Analysis. There was near-unanimous liquidation by selling in the USD longs in all the contracts we review except the SF, and the New Zealand USD. Selling of the USD by those previously short in the pound...
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Currency Markets Digest the Non Farm Payroll Report
By RalphShell | 12:19 AM May 04 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 530 | (Ratings: 0)
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Once again the US Labor Department delivers a surprise in the most recent NFP report. Following last month's low number, the experts all reduced their guesses for the new report and, of course, the number at 165K new hires exceeds all expectations. The unemployment rate slipped to 7.5%, ...
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Forex Markets Require Agility Today
By RalphShell | 12:56 PM May 02 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 704 | (Ratings: 0)
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There has been a steady stream of meaningful reports that has resulted in a lively trading session. We started the day with seven European PMI's. Although the numbers from Germany, Italy and a few other countries were moderately positive, there was nothing exciting in the PMI's.
Late...
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Is it Time for the USD to Lose to the Yen?
By RalphShell | 12:29 PM May 01 2013 | 1 Comments | Views: 693 | (Ratings: 2)
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Selling the yen has been a big winner this year.
Actually, the move commenced in October when traders began to recognize the new Prime Minister might be Abe, a proponent of aggressive monetary expansion. For years the Japanese had been trapped in a deflationary spiral and no economic...
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Will the USD Losses to the Euro and the Pound Continue?
By RalphShell | 1:38 AM May 01 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 540 | (Ratings: 1)
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The trade on the final day of the month should always be judged with suspicion. For those who have an accounting period coinciding with the end of the month, the trade today can be especially important. Open positions will be 'marked-to-market' and trading performance will determine the ...
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Industry User Reviews Contest $3700 in Prizes and 10 Winners!
By ForexRazor | 3:51 PM Apr 29 2013 | 33 Comments | Views: 1885 | (Ratings: 40)
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Please note the contest has been extended.
Contest - Starts: Immediately End: May 17 20:00 UTC
Cash Back Forex / Forex Razor is asking for your help in beginning to build a collection of helpful industry user reviews and would also like to reward your efforts with some cash payout...
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CFTC COT Report 23 April 2013 - Speculators Add to USD Long
By RalphShell | 3:11 AM Apr 29 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 213 | (Ratings: 1)
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CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) Report 23 April, published 26 April 2013 - Technical Analysis. The speculators net long in the USD increased last week to 328K contracts, up from 300K in the prior week. Most of the change came from selling in the Australian Dollar versus the USD. ...
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Building a Forex Position
By RalphShell | 11:27 PM Apr 26 2013 | 2 Comments | Views: 709 | (Ratings: 1)
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Commenting this week on our website, a trader was celebrating because his long GDP/USD, that he had built over the past few weeks, was paying off. In my opinion, the money you make from building and holding a position over a period of time is money you well deserve. During the period whe...
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Euro Strays Away From Fair Value - Briefly
By RalphShell | 11:06 AM Apr 25 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 539 | (Ratings: 2)
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If you don't like this price, wait, because it will change.
That is how the euro has been trading today. Early in today's session, the Euro was working higher, perhaps because Angela Merkel said higher interest rates were good for Germany. Trade in the euro had been weaker, ant...
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Will the Big Pound Short Position Prove To Be Correct?
By RalphShell | 11:30 AM Apr 24 2013 | 8 Comments | Views: 392 | (Ratings: 1)
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Tomorrow at 9:30 a.m. we will find if the UK avoided slipping back into another recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of a contraction in the GDP. Last quarter, their GDP was a negative 0.3%. This quarter the average guess is a positive 0.1%, so there is very little margin for e...
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Is the Euro Priced Right at 1.30?
By RalphShell | 10:37 AM Apr 23 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 325 | (Ratings: 1)
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Years ago a veteran trader, well into his eighth decade, gave me an order to buy a 100 contracts of Kansas City wheat. Though grateful for the order, I wanted to make sure this old boy was still lucid because the wheat market had been going nowhere. So I asked him to confirm the order an...
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CFTC COT Report 16 April 2013 | Speculative Buying in the Euro
By RalphShell | 7:49 AM Apr 22 2013 | 0 Comments | Views: 320 | (Ratings: 0)
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CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) Report 16 April, published 19 April 2013 - Technical Analysis. There was aggressive buying in the euro during the latest period. We suspected the run up to the 1.32 level on the 16th of April was short-covering, and the market has subsequently reversed.&...
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March Contest Winners Announced
By ForexRazor | 4:10 AM Apr 22 2013 | 7 Comments | Views: 701 | (Ratings: 9)
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The winners have been officially declared and you can see the final rankings including the top 10 on the rankings page. 4 contestants were disqualified to get to the top 10; however, one of those was Steven Randolff who is staff here and just competing for fun. Reasons for disqualificati...
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