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 Forex Analysis
09

Forex News Spike Trading Signal for December 9th 2011 - U of Mich Consumer Sentiment


9:55 USD UoM Consumer Sentiment (65.8 expected, 64.1 prior, 63.0 to 68.0 range)

Last month's -0.4 deviation actually lead the USDJPY to rally, perhaps this was more due to the
fact that the number confirmed the good expectations for this figure. This lead to a 30 pip
rally over the next hour or so. There was no gains seen on the other yen crosses however. The
November 11th release was a +2.9 deviation caused little movement in USDJPY and the pair actually
moved down after about 20 minutes, the CADJPY had a quick 10 pip pop and also moved back down 20
pip before mounting a rally about 15 minutes after the release. This number was very poor at the
end of the summer, and has come back up pretty nicely, which is positive for the economy going
forward. Trading it however is not so straightword however, it seems to require a bit surprise
or waiting around for a trend to develop in the hours after the release.

If it comes out at 68.5 or higher, buy USDJPY for 20-30 pips or buy CADJPY/GBPJPJY/EMiniS&P500
if it comes out at 60 or lower, sell USDJPY for 20-30 pips or sell CADJPY/GBPJPJY/EMiniS&P500

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